I am not political ... but

Political risks seem to be on the menu these days

A week away for a vacation and holiday, and shit seems to have hit the fan in government.

We try to stay away from politics but as investors, they are part and parcel of risk management. We don’t need to know everything but we need to know how it affects our investments.

In the meme of the week, I talk a little bit about how I identify political risks from the market. Meanwhile, news from the U.S. seems to indicate that the world’s biggest company is now under the Chinese Communist Party’s crosshair.

Sit back, relax, and enjoy this week’s newsletter!

Big Hits [U.S.] 💵

Moving on, here are the news that shocked the world…

Bad boy Nvidia?: China is investigating Nvidia for … violations of antimonopoly laws? It might have done so when it acquired the company, Mellanox [Read More]

Lululemon: Lululemon’s share price rose by 16% after both its 3Q revenue and profits beat expectations, but competition is ramping up from Alo and Vuori [Read More]

Omnicon x Interpublic: Omnicon is buying Interpublic for US$13.3 billion to merge into a US$25 billion ad company to compete with WPP and Publicis [Read More]

Apple x Broadcom: Apple and Broadcom are working together to develop a new server chip for AI processing [Read More]

Macy: Macy has decreased its annual profit forecast as it faces weak demand and steep discounts during the holiday season. [Read More]

Oracle: Share price rose by 7% as 3Q results came in stronger than expected, driven by its cloud services business [Read More]

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Big Hits [Asia] 📊

Here are the news covering the Asia market…

TSMC: Revenue grew by 34% in November 2024 as demand for AI chips continues to boom amid the building of more data centres [Read More]

Xiaohongshu: Xiaohongshu, the IG-like platform in China, might be close to an IPO as its profits are expected to exceed US$1 billion [Read More]

Panin bank: Panin Bank, an Indonesian lender, is subject to buying interest from DBS and OCBC and could boost their profits by 2-3% [Read More]

AIMS APAC REIT: AIMS APAC REIT is disposing of its 3 Toh Tuck Link property for SG$24.4 million, a premium of 32.5% from its initial purchase price [Read More]

XMH Holdings: XMH Holdings profits almost doubled to S$12.6 million in 1H 2025, boosted by higher demand for engine and spare parts [Read More]

Analyst Reports 📝

See below for our handpicked analyst reports:

Stock

Headline

Link

Warner Bros

Restructuring could unlock value

Click Here

Costco

Good quality merchandise and low prices to drive traffic growth

Click Here

SenseTime

Restructuring to focus on Generative AI

Click Here

Kimly

Plans to expand its outlet network and improve efficiency

Click Here

Marco Polo Marine

New dry dock to provide boost and healthy cash position

Click Here

Meme of the Week 📹

In the corporate world, if you made a dumb mistake, they call it a ‘boo-boo’. South Korea’s president, Yoon Suk Yeol, certainly did a BIG boo-boo by declaring martial law, only to have parliament reverse it 6 hours later.

Political risks are not new to investors. But it seems like they have become more and more prevalent in the markets these days.

In France, its Prime Minister, Michael Barnier lost a no-confidence vote - the first time in 60 years. Meanwhile, in Germany, its chancellor, Olaf Scholz sacked Finance Minister, Christian Lindner and triggered a snap election by February 2024.

While you can’t control what happens in the political arena (or rather, anything that could happen in the markets), you can certainly identify the warning signs.

The most straightforward one would be to look at the CBOE Volatility Index. It measures risk coming from the global markets, and if it spikes on a given day, you know that you need to be wary of it.

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